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Date/Time: Fri, 29 Nov 2024 00:35:04 +0000
Post From: Average FlatToFlat Trade Open Profit/Loss question
[2021-02-17 18:33:59] |
User247273 - Posts: 37 |
Thanks for getting back to me. Those stats aren't the info I'm looking for. I'll try to describe the calculations. Regardless of whether a trade results in a win or loss, there is always a fluctuation of open P&L during the position. That's what this calculation is designed to examine. Calculating Average FlatToFlat Trade Open Profit - Step 1: For each flat to flat trade, calculate the maximum unrealized profit reached during the trade. - Step 2: Sum the results from step 1. - Step 3: Divide the result from step 2 by the total number of flat to flat trades. Calculating Average FlatToFlat Trade Open Loss - Step 1: For each flat to flat trade, calculate the maximum unrealized loss reached during the trade. - Step 2: Sum the results from step 1. - Step 3: Divide the result from step 2 by the total number of flat to flat trades. I've typically seen these stats referred to as MFE (maximum favorable excursion) and MAE (maximum adverse excursion). Here's a description from Optimus Futures in case that helps clarify things any further (source link at end of quote) OPTIMIZING ORDER PLACEMENT
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE) The MAE is the largest experienced loss during a trade; it measures how far price went against you. For example, for a long trade with an entry at $100 and a lowest price of $94 during the duration of that trade, you had a $10 MAE – with a stop at $90, the MAE could be expressed as 60%. The MAE measurement can be used to analyze the effectiveness of stop placement. A trader with a very low overall MAE could potentially increase his expectancy and the size of his winners by using a tighter stop. However, adjusting stop size has to be done with care since a tighter stop usually leads to a higher loss rate. Maximum Favorable Excursion (MFE) The MFE is the opposite of the MAE and it measures the largest observed profit during a trade. A high MFE on losing trades shows that price went close to the profit taking level, before turning and running into the stop loss. A trader could then, potentially, improve his approach by using profit targets that are a little more conservative. Again, adjusting order placement has to be done with care. A tighter profit taking approach leads to a reduced expectancy. A trader, thus, has to find the right balance between using a smaller take profit level to avoid giving back profits and not reducing his overall expectancy at the same time. source: https://optimusfutures.com/tradeblog/archives/the-metrics-to-help-you-improve-your-trading |